Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-26006155-20181123023529/@comment-26006155-20181123235936

Let's use an example, and go back to FNAF.

There was a long-standing debate on whether the FNAF 3 recording that stated "multiple simultanous springlock failures" meant that several individual suits all failed at once.. or that multiple springlocks failed on a single suit.

Now, in terms of probablity, multiple locks on a single suit is, on the surface, a much more probably outcome. And since one springlock failing often sets off others around it, one failure often creates several others.

In contrast, if you accept the possiblity that any given springlock suit has a chance to fail any given day (say 1/100 each day), then a result where several suits all failing together, at the very same time of day, would be remarkably improbably to the point of vanishing. 5 suits all failing on the same day with a 1/100 chance would mean a 1/10000000000 result. And the odds of them all failing at the same TIME of that day would be astronomical.

The random probability of several suits all failing together seems impossible. Therefore, assuming that we're talking about multiple locks on a single suit seems the most reasonable.

However, this does NOT fit the lore evidence.

Phone Guy releases a tape that casually instructs any Freddy's performer who is experiencing a springlock failure, and ACTIVELY DYING FROM LOSS OF BLOOD.. should immediately go to the secret room to avoid grossing out the customers of the restaurant with their lurching death throes.

Phone Guy is 0% concerned with a single springlock failure. It's old hat. Something that happens at Freddy's all the time. This is a company that has 0% respect for the safety for its employees, and keeps using its springsuits in blissful ignorance.

But then.. something happens. SEVERAL suits all fail at once. And suddenly.. Phone Guy takes notice. This big, gory event is too large for the company to sweep under the rug, and since this event is large enough to now trigger an actual police investigation of the company, and threaten the very existance of Freddy's with is gross violations of human safety, Phone Guy takes an action to temporarily suspend the use of the springssuit.

Something Phone Guy would never do for a single springlock failure.

The novels show that the jarring effect of a springlock going off activates the other springlocks around it like dominos or firecrackers. You don't just get a bad arm puncture when a single springlock goes of.. the entire suit systematically fails and reverts to Animatronic Mode while your frail human form is still inside it, crushing your body so thoroughly that people won't ever find it again.

Freddy's would only react defensively like this in the event that multiple locks failed on DIFFERENT suits, all at once.

Then look at the FNAF 3 tapes from a Story Potential perspective.

What do we learn from the possiblity that several locks failed on a single suit?

.... Nothing.

It's just a standard day at Freddy's. Somebody dies, and people moved on with their short lives.

But it's vanishingly improbable to find several suits all NATURALLY failing on their own.

So you theorize possibilities.

A failure on multiple suits, as unlikes as that sounds, happened.

But it could not have happened naturally.

... Conclusion?

........ It happened UNNATURALLY. Somebody deliberately caused those suits to fail.

And now the Story Potential meter is off the scale. Because now, rather than hitting a dead end, we're facing the prospect that someone just deliberately murdered an entire room full of people!

And, if my theories carry any weight, that's exactly what happened. Because I believe the Multiple Simultanious Springlock Failured refer to the Missing Children Incident at Freddy's, where 5 children all died together.

So the probability of 5 natural failures happening at once? Near Zero. The probability of 5 springlock failures happening at once if someone used them to deliberately kill? Near 100%

The Story Potential, and the lore of FNAF, are overwhelmingly in favor of the Multiple Failures On Several Suits outcome. So that's what I went with. And it fit seemlessly with everything else.